Rising MS3, no derm research, chances with no research year?

I'm strongly considering derm as a potential option going into MS3. I have had exposure to dermatology prior to medical school as a medical scribe and working on a small Dermatology project (no published output though).

Currently at a "high tier" medical school with a decent amount of research output in non-dermatology fields (Currently 10 papers with 5 more in review, few of which are first author, and ~25-30 research items if posters and oral presentations are counted).

If I grind out...

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